In South Dakota, 48% of registered voters identify as Republican while only 27% identify as Democratic. Nationally, sanity has a greater foothold. Gallup reports that in the first quarter of this year, 30% of Americans identified themselves as Democrats while 25% identified themselves as Republicans. 44% identify themselves as independents… but when Gallup pushes and asks which way folks are leaning, Democrats come out ahead 49% to 40% over the party of lies and insurrection. That nine-point gap is the strongest advantage Democrats have enjoyed since 2012 Q4, but not as big as the double-digit margin Democrats enjoyed when President George W. Bush drove us toward recession, Speaker Pelosi, and President Obama.
Gallup notes that in the last 30 years, Americans have mostly preferred the Democratic Party, except in rare instances when war coincided with Republican Presidencies:
Republican advantages have generally been rare and short-lived, but occurred when Americans rallied around incumbent Republican presidents George H.W. Bush after the 1991 U.S. victory in the Gulf War and George W. Bush after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. The GOP also had brief leads in party affiliation in the periods surrounding Republican electoral successes in the 1994, 2010 and 2014 midterm elections [Jeffrey M. Jones, “Qaurterly Gap in Party Affiliation Largest Since 2021,” Gallup, 2021.04.07].
No wonder Republicans want to suppress voting: if everyone came out and voted according to the party preferences expressed in the Gallup numbers, Democrats would win more of the seats than they do already.