Fox News breaks down the demographics of who voted for whom in this year’s midterm election. Fox’s results for South Dakota show that Noem’s strongest support comes from dumb old white men.
According to Fox’s analysis, conducted with the Associated Press and the University of Chicago, Kristi Noem won 59% of the men’s vote while Billie Sutton won 55% of the women’s vote. Kurt Evans must have some mojo with the ladies: 3% of women voted for “Another candidate,” while Fox shows 0% of the men breaking from the two major parties.
Young voters (under 45) went 55% for Sutton; my age group and up went 55% for Noem.
White folks leaned toward Noem by 53%; non-white folks went for Sutton by 66%. But interestingly, while blacks and Hispanics went for Sutton by over 90%, “Other” non-whites (Fox doesn’t specify our biggest minority population, Native Americans) only favored Sutton by 53%. Hmm… might that suggest that getting out the Indian vote would not have given Sutton the boost conventional Democratic thinking would expect?
Noem did better among her fellow educational slowpokes. 58% of folks with no college degree preferred Noem. 58% of degree holders went for Sutton.
Sutton got the low-income vote, beating Noem among folks making under $50K by 53% to 44%. Folks making above that but under $100K preferred Noem by 52%. The six-figure crowd went for Noem over Sutton 60% to 40%.
Noem had more party defectors than Sutton. 23% of Republicans and Republican leaners voted for Sutton, while only 6% of Democrats/Dem leaners went for Noem. Sutton also whooped up among independents, taking 70% of their votes. However, Fox’s sample consisted of only 14% indies, 26% Dems, and 60% GOP/GOP leaners.
Note on that party breakdown: Fox says Evans claimed 6% of the independent vote. If Evans hadn’t been on the ballot and if those Evans independents had broken the way the rest of their cohort did, Sutton would have picked up about 2,100 votes while Noem would have picked up about 750. Noem beat Sutton by 11,534 votes.
Fox reports that 57% of Protestants went for Noem, while Catholics split 50-50. (Evans, you got no Catholic vote. Imagine that.) All the Mormons went for Noem; all the Jews went for Sutton. Our “Something Elses” went 62% for Sutton, and our religious “Nones” went 73% for Sutton. (Gee, we nones are just so tolerant.) Evans’s best showing came among the Nones as well, 4%.
I am intrigued to see Fox count Nones as 10% of South Dakota’s electorate. We atheists are moving up in the world!
These voting figures show that Noem represents the older, whiter, richer, and less educated segment of South Dakota. We can take hope from the fact that those first two categories are on an inevitable decline, thus suggesting Sutton and other sensible, qualified politicians may face better electoral days ahead.