Since 1988, we’ve never seen such a clear correspondence between vote choice and racial perceptions. The biggest movement was among those who voted for the Democrat, who were far less likely to agree with attitudes coded as more racially biased.
Finally, the statistical tool of regression can tease apart which had more influence on the 2016 vote: authoritarianism or symbolic racism, after controlling for education, race, ideology, and age. Moving from the 50th to the 75th percentile in the authoritarian scale made someone about 3 percent more likely to vote for Trump. The same jump on the SRS scale made someone 20 percent more likely to vote for Trump.
Bernie Sanders, are you sure you want to keep arguing that Trump voters aren’t deplorable? Trump is certainly deplorable, and the above data indicate his deplorable racism resonates with far too many Americans.
The House Republican health plan would give consumers in the health insurance marketplace nationally an average of $1,700 less help with premiums in 2020, compared to the ACA’s premium tax credits, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. The losses would be larger for older and lower-income consumers, and lower-income consumers would also lose help with deductibles and other out-of-pocket costs. Consumers’ costs would probably increase even more than tax credits would fall, since the House plan would likely cause individual market premiums to rise [Aviva Aron-Dine and Tara Straw, “House Tax Credits Would Make Health Insurance Far Less Affordable in High-Cost States,” Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 2017.03.09].
That’s $1,700 in increased out-of-pocket costs on average. According to the same source, South Dakota is one of eleven high-cost states where Kristi and the Trumpublicans will axe tax credits by more than $3,000.
Nineteen of the twenty states losing the most Affordable Care Act assistance in buying individual market insurance all voted for Trump.
The resistance to Trump is also a rejection of a personality, but not a rejection based on race. There is a moral and intellectual imperative behind this rejection. Donald Trump is, plain and simple, a vile human being. He lies constantly. It has become a journalistic custom to list the falsehoods and abusive insults he delivers each day. His reputation as a “business leader” is in fact a record of fraud and failure. He has single-handedly transformed the Grand Old Party into the Grabbers Of Pussy. He refuses to reveal his tax records and other evidence of his conflicts of interest. He serves the one percent by loading his cabinet with the ultra-weathy and corporate managers for the purpose of dismantling those agencies which serve and protect the people. His executive orders are directed at oppressing and inflicting harm on people more than implementing any Constitutional protections….
Everything Trump has done since he took office is an extension of his campaign. And his campaign has been predicated on who he can oppress and hurt. What characterizes him and his supporters is the intensity of their malice and misanthropy. He and his kind expend all their energy in looking for some pretext for hatred. The pretexts are based upon dishonesty. The Trump world lives in a world fabricated out of malice [David Newquist, “This Ain’t No Tea Baggin’ Party, Mama,” Northern Valley Beacon, 2017.02.26].
Senator Bernie Sanders takes his turn to ask DeVos is she thinks she’d be on the edge of Secretaryship if she weren’t a multimillionaire, then tries to get her to address whether his free tuition plan is as important as her boss’s tax-cuts-for-the-rich plan:
Pay attention to that ending: offered an easy “you betcha” question, Secretary DeVos declines to not commit to enforcing existing rules that protect students from lying, cheating for-profit “colleges”.
DeVos is not up for Education Secretary because she understands real education issues or wants to help all Americans get an education. DeVos is up for this job because she is rich, and because she will fight to protect her fellow rich people.
Democrats, take note: Franken, Sanders, and Warren show us how to deal with Trumpists: by asking them direct questions that they can’t answer. Franken/Warren 2020.
An eager reader shares filmmaker Michael Moore’s latest post on how to resist tyranny. Moore recommends five specific actions:
“Make your presence known” by telling your Representative and Senators to block all the damage Trump is going to do or expect to lose their seat in 2018 at the hands of a Tea Party 2010-style revolt. This recommendation fits with “Indivisible,” a resistance guide compiled by former congressional staffers recommending an application of 2010 Tea Party strategy to today’s anti-Trumpism.
“Write to the DNC tonight” and tell them to elect Minnesota Congressman Keith Ellison as their chair. Ellison is Bernie Sanders’s pick for leading the Democratic Party. Whether the DNC pick makes any difference to rejuvenating the South Dakota Democratic Party remains to be seen; for what it’s worth, Rep. Ellison says “Howard Dean was right to say we need a 50-state strategy, but we got to go beyond that now. We need a 3,141-county strategy.”
“Form your own Rapid Response Team” of five to ten neighbors “to email elected reps, make calls, post on social media, go to protests and/or organize others at work, school or in the neighborhood” in response to each new bad plan from the Trump White House and Congress.
“Make plans now to be at the Inauguration Weekend protests“—Inauguration is a Friday; the Women’s March on Washington is that Saturday. I check Expedia for flights from Aberdeen to D.C., arriving Thursday, January 19, flying out Sunday, January 22, and find prices starting at $1,004.70 for the three-hopper via Minneapolis and (really?) Raleigh-Durham. The Trump Hotel website says all of its rooms a mile from the White House are booked during that period, but rooms from January 23 start at $552 a night.
“Run for office…. It’s time to stop carping about politicians and become one.” Do it yourself—that’s the best advice I’ve heard.
The Green Party supports a Green Shadow Cabinet, but it doesn’t seem to get much press. Democrats, whom could we offer to talk facts and good sense on national policy?
We could just ask members of the Obama Cabinet to continue serving the public as spokespeople for how their former Departments ought to work. But if those good public servants need a break, we can bring on some Democratic all-stars:
State: Samantha Power (promote her from U.N. Secretary!)
Treasury and Commerce: Bernie Sanders (he’s good enough and right enough on economic policy to do both)
Defense: Colin Powell (they don’t have to be Democrats; they just have to know their stuff!)
Justice: Eric Holder
Labor: Robert Reich
Environmental Protection Agency: Al Gore
Interior: Bill McKibben
Agriculture: Wendell Berry (he probably wouldn’t take the job, but he deserves the first pitch!)
Education: Bill Nye
There are more spots to fill, and I welcome your suggestions. They key is to pick intelligent, well-known people who can step up to a microphone at a moment’s notice and lay out clear principles and policies. They should all be able to expose Trump’s Cabinet members as the chumps, stooges, and saboteurs that they are.
I’d also be curious to see if we could create a state Shadow Cabinet for South Dakota. That’s a little trickier (trick #1: Google “South Dakota Cabinet,” and most of the first two screens that pop up are for cabinetmakers). Our state executive branch includes elected offices other than Governor’s cabinet appointees, so South Dakota Democrats forming a Shadow Cabinet would want to include the newsmaking offices of Secretary of State and Attorney General. My suggestions:
Secretary of State: me! (who else can you think of who gets as excited about election law?)
Economic Development: Scott Parsley
Agriculture: Jason Frerichs
Environment and Natural Resources: Red Dawn Foster (remember, she was at the Dakota Access protests!)
Education: Kathy Tyler
Health and Social Services: Michael Saba
Again, I welcome your suggestions. But we Democrats, at the state level and at the national level, need a corps of smart, eager go-to spokespeople for the media. At both levels, those Shadow Secretaries can be plowing the road for the Democrats who will run for executive positions, testing messages and getting people thinking about how government ought to work.
Spink County Democrat Gordon Richard offered some solid comments following the state Democratic Party’s discussion in Aberdeen last month. Now the Dolander* expands on his state of mind, a vigilant, tentative patience with the President-Elect in tension with a recognition that Bernie Sanders may be right:
I feel as if I need to apologize to my liberal and progressive friends and acquaintances. I am sorry. I was a Bernie Sanders supporter and gave him more money than I have ever given to any politician (two $27 donations; along with over 8 million other Americans with that particular amount). I had some trouble with Bernie’s insistence of the need for a “revolution”, but have come to pretty much agree with him. We are going in the “wrong direction as a nation” and Bernie and others have articulated that feeling and, I believe, most Americans agree.
So, who and what is the answer? The American people have not really “spoken” because we have the Electoral College that skews a Presidential race, and we have the loser (again) with more individual votes from American citizens.
I am not altogether pleased with The Donald being elected President. I am not altogether disappointed that Hillary Clinton ‘lost’. I’d like to see changes made so that the candidate with the most votes’ wins, but that seems to be an almost insurmountable challenge. I was not enthused at the probability of the Clinton’s Wall Street friends coming back into the White House and continuing the reign of the rich and connected we have seen over the past many years. I was especially not tickled to get ole Bill back in the White House. I felt her winning would give him a chance for a ‘redo’ of what I believe was a squandered Presidency.
So, not to turn this into a tome, let me say that I will give President Elect Trump, and after January 20, President Trump a chance. I will stop calling him “The Donald” and comparing him to a Carnival Barker or the other terrible things many are calling him. I will remain vigilant and will protest, with others, when I see things going the wrong way. I do believe both Democrats and Republicans, especially, at the national level, are corrupt and have undermined our Democracy, or is it our Republic?
Anyway, maybe I should be more upset and outraged, but I did vote for “hope and change” twice and was disappointed both times by the Democrats and their policies, and especially, the Republicans with their extreme partisanship and just plain unwillingness to work with President Obama on anything.
I am coming to Senator Sanders’ basic assumption that we do need a “Revolution”, but am willing to give this ‘wild & crazy’ guy a chance to prove me wrong, and, besides, what choice do I really have other than what I have already described of what I will be doing?
I would enjoy hearing your thoughts, opinion and insights and what you are doing and are going to do!
Gordon Richard… about one month post 2016 Presidential Election
p.s.: I am especially torqued at how the DNC undermined Bernie’s primary campaign and feel as if we might have had a President-Elect Sanders at this moment had he not met subterfuge [Gordon Richard, letter to Dakota Free Press, 2016.12.11].
Friends, fellow progressives, fellow Americans (and isn’t progress written into the definition of American?), read GR’s letter, then consider these questions:
What does “giving Trump a chance” look like?
What specific actions would have to happen to justify ending that “chance”?
What does “no longer giving Trump a chance” look like?
Can we bring Bernie back?
What does Bernie’s revolution look like in 2017… and 2020?
Update 2016.12.16 13:26 CST: I originally incorrectly identified Richard as a Redfielder. I apologize and welcome further correction on the proper term for a denizen of Doland.
In essence, United Technologies took Trump hostage and won. And that should send a shock wave of fear through all workers across the country.
Trump has endangered the jobs of workers who were previously safe in the United States. Why? Because he has signaled to every corporation in America that they can threaten to offshore jobs in exchange for business-friendly tax benefits and incentives. Even corporations that weren’t thinking of offshoring jobs will most probably be re-evaluating their stance this morning. And who would pay for the high cost for tax cuts that go to the richest businessmen in America? The working class of America [Senator Bernie Sanders, “Carrier Just Showed Corporations How to Beat Donald Trump,” Washington Post, 2016.12.01].
Take Trump hostage, says Senator Sanders? Sounds like fun! Let’s do some math: Trump is willing to give up $7 million (of Indiana’s money) to keep 850 jobs from going to Mexico. (The deal also keeps 300 HQ and engineering jobs in Indiana that Carrier intended to move to North Carolina, which only voted for Trump over Clinton by 3.7 points instead of 18.91 like Indiana—try harder for the Führer next time, North Carolina!) That’s about $8,200 per job. My fellow workers, send President-Elect Trump a letter. Tell him you want $8,200 or you’re moving to Mexico and offshoring your own job. For the cost of a stamp, my wife and I could get over $16,000! (One more key number: temperature in Acapulco tonight as I write is 78°F.)
From New England to heartland cities like Kansas City and along the West Coast, demonstrators bore flags and effigies of the president-elect, disrupting traffic and declaring that they refused to accept Trump’s victory.
Flames lit up the night sky in California cities Wednesday as thousands of protesters burned a giant papier-mache Trump head in Los Angeles and started fires in Oakland intersections.
A neighbor who supported my failed Senate campaign tells me he plans to fly his flag upside-down on Veterans Day.
A friend and friend of the blog writes that he is “tired. Tired of beating my head against the wall. Tired of progressives treated like second class citizens. Tired of making no progress in this very red state.” He plans to buy his first handgun to deal with the chaos he sees coming.
I know their feelings. Similar thoughts have popped into my head, including the thought that maybe I need to buy a gun.
I have rejected that latter thought. I won’t buy a gun. I’m saving my money to deal with a Trump economic downturn (the businesses he run go bankrupt; why should we not expect the same of a country he runs?). If chaos is coming , there are still many other practical items we can invest in that will provide more utility—canned goods, seeds and garden tools, sturdy boots and winter clothes…. I just can’t place my faith in a gun, which symbolizes the breakdown of faith in civil institutions.
I still believe the First Amendment protects our freedoms far better than the Second. The street protestors and flag inverters are exercising their First Amendment rights (though not when they break windows and block traffic), and they are right to vow to fight a sexist, racist, fascist President. Protests are an important part of effective resistance to the Trump Reich. Protests (as well as the constitutionally irrelevant but politically meaningful popular vote) signal to political leaders that they can resist the Führer and still win their state and local elections.
But those protests must have a practical political component. When the kids get home from the busy street corners, they must then check their e-mail and their Facebook Events pages to make sure they don’t miss the voter registration drive next week. They must pay attention to Congress and their state legislatures and lobby against the egregious curtailments of civil liberties and health insurance that will come from Trumpist leaders. And they must make clear to every good anti-fascist from Senator Bernie Sanders (he is now the leader of the Democratic Party, right?) on down that we have their backs and will not just vote for them in 2018 but call and knock and fundraise and bring ten friends to the polls to ensure that we stage a Coffee Party electoral revolt in 2018 that dwarfs the Tea Party backlash that wrested Congress from Democrats in 2010.
(Quick check: how many of you protestors voted for Democratic Legislative candidates Tuesday? How many of you can name your Democratic Legislative candidates?)
Our protests against Trump’s fascism must not be mere show or catharsis. We must back those protests with the practical, tedious, media-invisible work of organizing, campaigning, and winning at the ballot box the next time around, and the next time….
* * *
At least the street protestors are not withdrawing from politics. Withdrawal is tempting—I can envision getting away from daily public writing and instead focusing on finally writing novels. But then I think of the dismay I felt every time I knocked on a door during this year’s campaign and got some cranky neighbor who said, “We don’t do any politics!”
Disengagement is how the extremists win. Decent people disengage before the dedicated troublemakers do, leaving the troublemakers an open field.
As long as we live in a community, we do politics. That’s just the price we pay, as surely as taxes and politeness.
I can’t take an action that, if done by everyone, would lead to the collapse of the system. If everyone stays engaged, there may be more arguments, but democracy continues. If everyone withdraws permanently, democracy does not continue.
Politics can be a darned dirty chore, and this year, for decent citizens, it’s got darned little reward. We have bills to pay, kids to love, yards to rake, bodies to keep in shape, good books to read… we can’t be marching all the time.
But I will keep finding time to march. I won’t make anyone march with me… but I will welcome those who can help in any way, even if it’s no more than a quiet vote, or a ring of the tip jar, or a commentless click of the Share button. With your support, I will keep blogging, providing encouragement, advice, and healthy debate to help good liberals, progressives, and other patriots fight the fascism that invades the White House on January 20, 2017.
Al’s lazy illogic won him 6,364 votes from our neighbors and an eighth term in Pierre. 4,031 voted for me. That shows what honesty and hard work gets a Democrat in South Dakota.
Democrats took a beating everywhere in South Dakota. Not one new Democrat won a seat challenged by Republicans last night. Former Democratic legislator Dan Ahlers returned to beat the odious and genital-obsessed Republican incumbent Roger Hunt in District 25 by a recount-worthy 33 votes, but Ahlers still finished second to new Republican Rep.-Elect Tom Pischke, who will probably dedicate his time in Pierre to arguing that men don’t have enough rights.
Another friend, Senator Scott Parsley, legislated as one of the most moderate, pro-business Democrats you could ask for. Yet District 8 threw him out in favor of inexperienced twenty-something Jordan Youngberg.
And the top of our Democratic ticket? Henry Red Cloud 25%. Jay Williams 28%. Hillary Clinton 32%. Paula Hawks 36%. The new Democratic default vote in South Dakota appears to be 30%. Rep. Paula Hawks’s superior intellect mattered not one whit, and her extra effort over that of the rest of the top of our ticket didn’t push her through the old assumed Dem default of 40%.
It’s not as if South Dakota Democrats are losing to great statesmen. We Democrats face no Peter Norbecks, never mind any Ronald Reagans. We face ignorant, self-serving dissemblers like Al Novstrup, and we get beat. Being smart and right didn’t save us. Raising money didn’t save us. Ballot measure synergy didn’t save us (more on that in my next post!).
Last night we Democrats lost two Senate seats and two House seats. Republicans now control our Senate 29–6 and our House 60–10. There have not been this few Democrats in Pierre since 1954 (see historical chart on page 50 of the Legislator Reference Book).
We South Dakota Democrats have no cause for joy. Last night’s results show we have completely squandered George McGovern’s legacy and left our state at the mercy of a Republican Party that can unchallenged continue to block Medicaid expansion, erode our gains in teacher pay, trample on the rights of our LGBT neighbors, annul women’s right to end their pregnancies, and let the state budget slide toward further emergencies in the name of keeping taxes low. We Democrats have failed to field the loyal opposition South Dakota so desperately needs to save it from the complacent corruption of one-party rule.
And I am part of that failure. For all my cogitation over the past decade-plus of blogging, for all my efforts to inspire by example and run a smart, efficient, principled, and fearless campaign, I couldn’t break 40%, either, against a petty man who sits around the last days before an election watching football and stoking fears of Sharia law. I did everything I thought would provide a model for Democratic success, and I produced failure, just like every other new Democratic candidate (and several more experienced colleagues).
Beating the self-serving ignorance of the Republican Party should not be hard. Yet somehow, for us South Dakota Democrats, it is. We face an enormously hard challenge in building a new South Dakota Democratic Party—not a wing of the Republican Party, but a real opposition party—that can make a credible case to volunteers, donors, and voters that we can win and can and should govern.
I welcome your suggestions toward that vital goal.