Cook Shifts 12 States Toward Democrats in Electoral College Preview

The Cook Political Report yesterday re-rated thirteen states in its assessment of the two major parties’ chances in the Presidential election. Twelve of those states shifted in Democrats’ favor:

Amy Walter, David Wasserman and Charlie Cook, "New Electoral Scorecard Ratings in 13 States," Cook Political Report, 2016.05.05.
Amy Walter, David Wasserman and Charlie Cook, “New Electoral Scorecard Ratings in 13 States,” Cook Political Report, 2016.05.05.

South Dakota remains Solid R, meaning our Republican candidates won’t have to work as hard as our friends in competitive Iowa, Wisconsin, and Arizona to distance themselves from their train wreck at the top. (Again, for the record, Secretary Clinton, if you want to come speak at a District 3 Democrats rally, I welcome you and deliver introductory remarks.) But by Cook’s nationwide count, 190 electoral votes are in Solid D states, 27 are Likely D, and 87 are Lean D. That’s 304 electoral votes, 34 more than the magic 270 the next President needs to win. Add Republican Solids, Likelies, and Leaners, and you get 190, with only 44 toss-ups to divvy up.

Republicans, save your souls. Offer the party faithful an Independent candidate. You’ll miss Texas’s Monday deadline, but you can get an Independent on the ballot in every other state. Pick wisely, court the Sanders Independents, and you could humiliate Trump into third place and give Hillary Clinton a run for her money.


2 Responses to Cook Shifts 12 States Toward Democrats in Electoral College Preview

  1. Shirley Harrington-Moore

    just curious: I’m reading 33 states laundered money for Hillary. Minnesota’s DFL admits to it. I suppose SDDP did the same. SMH

  2. Shirley, I’ve seen no sign of South Dakota party money in the FEC reports for the Hillary Victory Fund.