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FBI Finds Crime Up But Still Historically Low

The FBI’s crime stats for 2016 say that violent crime went up for the second year in a row last year while property crime continued a fourteen-year decline:

There were an estimated 17,250 murders in the U.S. last year, an 8.6 percent increase from 2015.

Overall violent crime rose 4.1 percent last year, while property crime fell 1.3 percent compared to 2015 figures.

…there were an estimated 1.2 million violent crimes in the U.S. last year. Though the violent crime numbers rose from 2015 to 2016, the five-year and 10-year trends show an increase from 2012 (up 2.6 percent) and a decrease from 2007 (down 12.3 percent) [Federal Bureau of Investigation, “2016 Crime Statistics Released,” 2017.09.25].

In historical context, these figures confirm that Donald Trump was exaggerating on the campaign trail when he said crime was “out of control“:

But the recent jumps, while prompting concern and a search for causes, do not reflect a picture of spiraling lawlessness suggested by some observers, criminologists said. President Trump earlier this year falsely claimed the U.S. murder rate had surged to its highest level in nearly 50 years.

…“The overall picture is that homicide and violent crime rates went up dramatically in the 1970s and ’80s and ’90s, and then underwent a dramatic drop in the last 20 years, and leveled off,” said Robert Weisberg, a Stanford University criminal law professor and co-director of the school’s Criminal Justice Center [Evan Sernoffsky, “FBI: Violent Crime up in California and US for 2nd Straight Year,” SFGate, 2017.09.25].

I’m feeling about as safe from crime as I have at other times in my life. The only people making me nervous are the white supremacists cheering Trump and revolting against reason and evidence.

2 Comments

  1. Cory Allen Heidelberger Post author | 2017-09-27 19:08

    Kushner registered as female? Darned transgender voter, probably trying to sneak into women’s polling booths to watch them vote. No more! Send Roger Hunt to pull Kushner’s pants down, inspect his genitalia, and declare him male or female by his own judgment.

    Sorry, easily distracted tonight.

    Mike, I certainly feel more threatened by white racists than by any of the Muslim folks in South Dakota.

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