Polls: Nielson Brothers to Post Results This Weekend; DFP Finds 21 Beating U!

Sioux Falls Drinking Liberally host (and blog sponsor!) Sheldon Osborn says he doesn’t want to steal Nielson Brothers’ thunder, but he sends out this Friday meeting notice telling us how NBP finds our statewide candidates and ballot measures faring in a South Dakota poll conducted October 24–26:

…to no surprise to anyone, it will show Trump underperforming the other Republican statewide candidates by ten points or more but still beating Hillary Clinton by about 10 %. Nielson Brothers also polled a number of the ballot measures. Here is a quick summary for the well informed: Amendment T, Redistricting, is up by 15%; Amendment U, the phony interest rate cap, is losing by about the same amount; Amendment V, non-partisan elections, is statistically tied; Initiated Measure 21, the payday loan interest rate cap, is winning close to 2 to 1; Initiated Measure 23, allowing non-profit organizations to charge fees, is losing more than 2 to 1; and, Referred Law 20, repeal of the minimum wage for teenagers, is losing badly which is good. The Undecideds for all of the ballot measures range from 25 to 30 percent [Sheldon Osborn, “Hillary or “the Donald”? Goodness and Light or Misogyny? Let’s Drink on It,” Drinking Liberally Sioux Falls Chapter blog, 2016.10.28].

Dakota Free Press poll results, 2016.10.25–27.
Dakota Free Press poll results, 2016.10.25–27.

Our own blog poll finds IM 21 doing a little better and Amendment U(sury) doing even worse than Osborn says NBP says. Out 193 blog readers casting their votes from Tuesday through Thursday of this week, 70% combined the right combination of votes: Yes on 21, No on U! 5% more voted Yes on 21 but then slipped and voted Yes on U, which would cancel out 21’s 36% rate cap and write unlimited payday lending interest rates into our constitution. Pay attention, people!

Add the 20% who voted No on both measures to the Yes21/NoU vote, and you get 90% of DFP readers voting against the payday lenders’ decoy amendment, which is a victory for the efforts of Steve Hildebrand, Steve Hickey, Reynold Nesiba, Cathy Brechtelsbauer, this blog, and all of you, dear readers, who are telling your friends and neighbors what these competing payday lending measures are about. Keep up the good work!


8 Responses to Polls: Nielson Brothers to Post Results This Weekend; DFP Finds 21 Beating U!

  1. It sounds like many people are taking ol’ grudznick’s advice. Vote NO in Everything!

  2. Grudz, stop spinning and start reading: NBP apparently will tell us that T and 21 are up strong, V is a tie, and U, 20, and 23 are down. We don’t hear about R, S, 19, or 22. That’s hardly evidence that your joshing “no on everything” is gaining wide support. (We could use more NO on U!)

  3. Cathy Brechtelsbauer

    To all the dear readers, Please go to http://www.endusurysd.org/handouts and print yourself some cute little mini-flyers. They’re 4 to a page. Carry them with you and give them to people everywhere you go. This is a great issue to work on because it can do soooo much good, and there is widespread agreement that these loans need an interest limit. If people just know to vote NO on U and YES on 21, we could win this thing! Thanks for every effort.

  4. Cory, this article is further solid information on why the Post Office would be the source to help folks that get caught up in the payday loan scams. https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/10/fdic-underbanked-cfpb/504881/?utm_source=feed

  5. Porter Lansing

    Nick, you’re highly ignorable.

  6. Lee Schoenbeck

    Cory, the challenge Nielson Brothers have is that their “poll” results aren’t close to reality – speaking historically and empirically. They make good partisan press, but don’t put cash on them. Didn’t they have Heidepriem winning?

  7. Lee, you read too much War College.

    Nielson Brothers did blow that late October 2010 Daugaard/Heidepriem poll. However, they got the 2010 U.S. House race and two ballot questions right:

    http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/content/election-puts-polling-data-test-rasmussen-among-most-accurate

  8. I spread the word hard at breakfast this morning to Vote NO on Everything. Just about everybody there nodded in agreement, except one quasi-libbie. And all 3 fellows who had already voted had voted no on almost everything, except that R thing and that minimum wage deal. I let them off with a mild scowl.